Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.024039 0.025861 0.027763 0.029898 0.032230 0.034704 0.037530
2024-12-22 0.020529 0.023049 0.025813 0.029082 0.032853 0.037082 0.042202
2024-12-29 0.018395 0.021321 0.024656 0.028758 0.033694 0.039477 0.046814
2025-01-05 0.016806 0.019982 0.023713 0.028453 0.034359 0.041533 0.051000
2025-01-12 0.015379 0.018673 0.022642 0.027822 0.034467 0.042795 0.054162
2025-01-19 0.014604 0.018078 0.022362 0.028094 0.035653 0.045409 0.059164
2025-01-26 0.013811 0.017388 0.021890 0.028049 0.036373 0.047405 0.063424
2025-02-02 0.013274 0.016980 0.021735 0.028380 0.037573 0.050072 0.068750
2025-02-09 0.012570 0.016303 0.021175 0.028109 0.037904 0.051527 0.072416
2025-02-16 0.011994 0.015759 0.020752 0.027983 0.038403 0.053215 0.076499
2025-02-23 0.011439 0.015212 0.020288 0.027761 0.038729 0.054644 0.080258
2025-03-02 0.011004 0.014804 0.019989 0.027745 0.039338 0.056500 0.084776
2025-03-09 0.010471 0.014238 0.019446 0.027352 0.039369 0.057500 0.088041
2025-03-16 0.009932 0.013637 0.018825 0.026807 0.039133 0.058064 0.090625
2025-03-23 0.009520 0.013201 0.018417 0.026555 0.039323 0.059289 0.094373
2025-03-30 0.009134 0.012784 0.018017 0.026287 0.039463 0.060428 0.098035
2025-04-06 0.008691 0.012265 0.017439 0.025715 0.039077 0.060673 0.100138
2025-04-13 0.008497 0.012105 0.017392 0.025963 0.040024 0.063168 0.106407
2025-04-20 0.008240 0.011840 0.017172 0.025922 0.040486 0.064862 0.111336
2025-04-27 0.008083 0.011721 0.017168 0.026223 0.041529 0.067608 0.118422
2025-05-04 0.007804 0.011401 0.016838 0.025977 0.041623 0.068689 0.122412
2025-05-11 0.007572 0.011145 0.016597 0.025862 0.041934 0.070165 0.127271
2025-05-18 0.007332 0.010868 0.016313 0.025659 0.042076 0.071334 0.131601